(Q34411566)

2 August 2017

title

Psychological strategies for winning a geopolitical forecasting tournament (English)

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2 August 2017

2

Lyle Ungar

1 reference

2 August 2017

Barbara Mellers

1

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2 August 2017

Jonathan Baron

3

1 reference

2 August 2017

Jaime Ramos

4

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2 August 2017

Burcu Gurcay

5

1 reference

2 August 2017

Katrina Fincher

6

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2 August 2017

Sydney E Scott

7

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2 August 2017

Don Moore

8

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2 August 2017

Pavel Atanasov

9

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2 August 2017

Samuel A Swift

10

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2 August 2017

Terry Murray

11

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2 August 2017

Eric Stone

12

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2 August 2017

Philip E Tetlock

13

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2 August 2017

publication date

21 March 2014

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2 August 2017

published in

Psychological Science

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2 August 2017

volume

25

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2 August 2017

issue

5

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2 August 2017

page(s)

1106-1115

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A Theory of Fads, Fashion, Custom, and Cultural Change as Informational Cascades

2 August 2017

cites work

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1177%2F0956797614524255

VERIFICATION OF FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN TERMS OF PROBABILITY

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1177%2F0956797614524255

Alive and Well after 25 Years: A Review of Groupthink Research

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1177%2F0956797614524255

Motivation gains in performance groups: paradigmatic and theoretical developments on the Köhler effect

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1177%2F0956797614524255

The wisdom of many in one mind: improving individual judgments with dialectical bootstrapping.

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1177%2F0956797614524255

Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1177%2F0956797614524255

Group performance and decision making

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1177%2F0956797614524255

Many hands make light the work: The causes and consequences of social loafing

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1177%2F0956797614524255

Combining multiple probability predictions using a simple logit model

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1177%2F0956797614524255

Strategies for revising judgment: how (and how well) people use others' opinions

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1177%2F0956797614524255

Intelligent management of intelligence agencies: beyond accountability ping-pong

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1177%2F0956797614524255

Fault trees: Sensitivity of estimated failure probabilities to problem representation

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1177%2F0956797614524255

21 January 2018

Reasons for confidence

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1177%2F0956797614524255

21 January 2018

Identifiers

DOI

10.1177/0956797614524255

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2 August 2017

1 reference